New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction (Oct 01, 2026)

New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning — Oct 01, 2026

Detailed NHL game prediction for New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning: pregame win probabilities, expected goals, and projected totals from our NHLForecasts model.

Explore more matchups on the NHL games calendar or full modeled schedule. See how this game impacts NHL playoff odds & Stanley Cup probabilities, or review team pages for longer-term edges on New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning.

Pregame win probability: New York Rangers 38.5% • Tampa Bay Lightning 61.5%

Expected goals: New York Rangers 1.26 — Tampa Bay Lightning 4.39 • Median total: 6.7