Buffalo Sabres Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Buffalo Sabres
BUF
Eastern
Season Record:
50-23-9
(109 pts, 66.5%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
Points Percentage
66.5%
109 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
8-9
OT/SO: 8 wins, 9 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.20
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.32
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.03
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+20.5
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
38
37W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
1
1W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
11.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
21.2%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Regression Watch
Buffalo Sabres is finishing 7% above expected (1.07). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tage Thompson | 81 | 420 | 34.8 | 42 |
| Jack Quinn | 80 | 301 | 26.2 | 25 |
| Josh Doan | 76 | 253 | 26.2 | 25 |
| Alex Tuch | 78 | 324 | 25.8 | 34 |
| Jason Zucker | 54 | 192 | 21.4 | 24 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | DAL | 53.3% | 3.32 | 3.16 | 4.31 | 2.93 | L |
| 2026-04-13 | CHI | 60.7% | 3.79 | 2.66 | 3.17 | 1.87 | W |
| 2026-04-09 | CBJ | 51.5% | 3.09 | 2.73 | 2.30 | 3.74 | W |
| 2026-04-08 | NYR | 58.3% | 3.23 | 2.74 | 4.12 | 2.33 | W |
| 2026-04-06 | TBL | 47.2% | 3.13 | 3.24 | 3.56 | 2.63 | W |
| 2026-04-04 | WSH | 49.3% | 3.48 | 3.10 | 3.33 | 2.72 | L |
| 2026-04-02 | OTT | 29.5% | 2.50 | 3.37 | 2.32 | 4.02 | L |
| 2026-03-31 | NYI | 74.2% | 3.30 | 2.86 | 4.37 | 2.44 | W |
| 2026-03-28 | SEA | 54.3% | 2.98 | 2.66 | 4.77 | 4.00 | W |
| 2026-03-27 | DET | 58.4% | 3.17 | 2.77 | 3.78 | 3.56 | L |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.