Calgary Flames Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Calgary Flames
CGY
Western
Season Record:
1-5-0
(2 pts, 16.7%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate
Points Percentage
16.7%
2 pts in 6 games
Overtime Record
0-0
OT/SO: 0 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.69
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.24
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.18
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-6.3
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
1
1W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
55.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.8%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
7.2%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
45.8/gm · p84
Slot Location style
22.7% · p6
Finishing variance
0.59 G/xG · p9
Shot Quality
0.060 xG/sh · p3
Defense
Shot Suppression
43.2/gm · p34
Slot Defense
34.3% allowed · p9
Goaltending variance
1.66 GA/xGA · p3
Quality Allowed
0.075 xG/sh · p62
Regression Watch
Calgary Flames is finishing 35% below expected (0.65). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikael Backlund | 6 | 34 | 3.0 | 1 |
| Joel Farabee | 6 | 21 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Ryan Strome | 5 | 20 | 1.5 | 1 |
| Morgan Frost | 6 | 15 | 1.4 | 2 |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 5 | 17 | 1.4 | 1 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | ANA | 45.3% | 2.94 | 3.05 | 4.69 | 3.14 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | ANA | 62.5% | 2.50 | 3.64 | 3.29 | 3.44 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | COL | 38.6% | 2.28 | 4.15 | 2.86 | 2.88 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | SEA | 30.5% | 3.01 | 3.42 | 3.06 | 2.48 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | VAN | 42.8% | 3.48 | 2.80 | 1.87 | 3.55 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | SEA | 42.0% | 1.49 | 4.78 | 2.55 | 3.95 | L |
| 2026-04-16 | LAK | 51.0% | 2.99 | 3.16 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-14 | COL | 33.4% | 2.34 | 3.55 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-12 | UTA | 53.5% | 2.98 | 2.82 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-11 | SEA | 49.0% | 2.94 | 3.31 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM PDT | VGK | 30.8% | 2.86 | 3.60 |
| 2026-10-18 | 6:00 PM MDT | CAR | 33.6% | 2.41 | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM MDT | MIN | 58.2% | 2.95 | 3.73 |
| 2026-10-24 | 8:00 PM MDT | DET | 58.6% | 3.06 | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-26 | 6:30 PM MDT | TOR | 61.3% | 3.55 | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-28 | 6:30 PM MDT | EDM | 49.6% | 2.68 | 2.98 |
| 2026-10-30 | 6:00 PM MDT | SEA | 59.0% | 2.86 | 3.06 |
| 2026-10-31 | 8:00 PM MDT | COL | 20.8% | 2.73 | 3.50 |