Colorado Avalanche Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Colorado Avalanche
COL
Western
Season Record:
4-2-1
(9 pts, 64.3%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
Points Percentage
64.3%
9 pts in 7 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.65
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.70
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.76
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+7.8
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
4
4W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
48.9%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
3.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.9%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
47.6/gm · p91
Slot Location style
28.6% · p44
Finishing variance
1.52 G/xG · p100
Shot Quality
0.072 xG/sh · p34
Defense
Shot Suppression
39.6/gm · p66
Slot Defense
28.8% allowed · p69
Goaltending variance
1.31 GA/xGA · p19
Quality Allowed
0.066 xG/sh · p91
Regression Watch
Colorado Avalanche is finishing 32% above expected (1.32). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 7 | 42 | 3.2 | 5 |
| Nazem Kadri | 7 | 26 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Martin Necas | 6 | 24 | 2.0 | 4 |
| Brock Nelson | 7 | 17 | 1.8 | 3 |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 7 | 16 | 1.8 | 4 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | DAL | 60.5% | 3.40 | 2.92 | 3.82 | 2.78 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | DAL | 57.8% | 3.31 | 2.77 | 3.26 | 3.12 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | TOR | 59.8% | 3.32 | 3.40 | 4.42 | 3.27 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | CGY | 61.4% | 4.15 | 2.28 | 2.88 | 2.86 | W |
| 2026-10-07 | WPG | 63.7% | 3.67 | 1.69 | 3.01 | 1.98 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | STL | 71.1% | 5.07 | 2.22 | 3.64 | 1.87 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | LAK | 55.7% | 3.59 | 2.60 | 3.15 | 3.01 | W |
| 2026-05-26 | VGK | 58.5% | 3.39 | 2.79 | - | - | L |
| 2026-05-24 | VGK | 61.4% | 3.34 | 3.00 | - | - | L |
| 2026-05-22 | VGK | 59.6% | 3.30 | 2.84 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | 7:00 PM MDT | PIT | 55.1% | 3.53 | 3.05 |
| 2026-10-19 | 7:00 PM EDT | PHI | 71.4% | 3.61 | 2.20 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM EDT | NJD | 23.8% | 2.95 | 3.93 |
| 2026-10-23 | 7:00 PM MDT | TBL | 50.1% | 3.58 | 3.08 |
| 2026-10-25 | 7:00 PM CDT | NSH | 65.8% | 3.33 | 2.37 |
| 2026-10-28 | 7:00 PM MDT | NJD | 63.2% | 3.79 | 3.06 |
| 2026-10-31 | 8:00 PM MDT | CGY | 78.8% | 4.10 | 2.69 |
| 2026-11-02 | 7:00 PM CST | CHI | 70.1% | 3.66 | 2.09 |