Montreal Canadiens Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Montreal Canadiens
MTL
Eastern
Season Record:
56-28-12
(124 pts, 64.6%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
Points Percentage
64.6%
124 pts in 96 games
Overtime Record
17-12
OT/SO: 17 wins, 12 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.63
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.51
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.67
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-3.9
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
31
29W – 2L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
5
5W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
6.4%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
22.6%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 95 | 449 | 47.4 | 61 |
| Juraj Slafkovský | 94 | 370 | 39.7 | 34 |
| Nick Suzuki | 95 | 359 | 35.9 | 33 |
| Ivan Demidov | 84 | 259 | 24.7 | 23 |
| Oliver Kapanen | 77 | 206 | 22.2 | 23 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | BUF | 29.0% | 2.66 | 3.57 | 2.90 | 4.49 | W |
| 2026-05-16 | BUF | 45.0% | 3.33 | 3.16 | 2.56 | 5.10 | L |
| 2026-05-14 | BUF | 27.5% | 2.12 | 3.49 | 3.66 | 3.84 | W |
| 2026-05-12 | BUF | 46.5% | 3.07 | 2.93 | 3.62 | 3.51 | L |
| 2026-05-10 | BUF | 46.4% | 2.79 | 2.87 | 5.86 | 3.64 | W |
| 2026-05-08 | BUF | 32.6% | 2.34 | 3.22 | 4.35 | 2.29 | W |
| 2026-05-06 | BUF | 32.9% | 2.56 | 3.62 | 2.82 | 2.68 | L |
| 2026-05-03 | TBL | 36.6% | 2.27 | 3.72 | 0.80 | 2.98 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | TBL | 55.1% | 3.29 | 2.79 | 4.63 | 4.82 | L |
| 2026-04-29 | TBL | 36.3% | 1.85 | 3.57 | 2.46 | 2.83 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | 8:00 PM EDT | CAR | 18.6% | 2.24 | 4.06 |
| 2026-05-23 | 7:00 PM EDT | CAR | 18.6% | 2.24 | 4.06 |
| 2026-05-25 | 8:00 PM EDT | CAR | 28.2% | 2.04 | 2.37 |
| 2026-05-27 | 8:00 PM EDT | CAR | 28.2% | 2.04 | 2.37 |
| 2026-05-29 | 8:00 PM EDT | CAR | 18.6% | 2.24 | 4.06 |
| 2026-05-31 | 12:00 PM EDT | CAR | 28.2% | 2.04 | 2.37 |
| 2026-06-02 | 8:00 PM EDT | CAR | 18.6% | 2.24 | 4.06 |