Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL
Eastern
Season Record:
38-14-4
(80 pts, 71.4%)
Last 5 games:
90% win rate
Points Percentage
71.4%
80 pts in 56 games
Overtime Record
9-4
OT/SO: 9 wins, 4 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.41
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Against
3.13
Allowed per game (last 10 games)
Playoff Odds
99.4%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
4.9%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Top Players
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Hagel | 50 | 237 | 28.8 | 27 |
| Jake Guentzel | 56 | 223 | 28.7 | 27 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 52 | 272 | 24.7 | 32 |
| Brayden Point | 36 | 125 | 16.5 | 15 |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 54 | 153 | 15.9 | 10 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 48 | 137 | 15.7 | 15 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | CAR | 32.6% | 2.12 | 3.35 | - | - | W |
| 2026-02-25 | TOR | 58.4% | 3.52 | 3.52 | 6.08 | 4.06 | W |
| 2026-02-05 | FLA | 63.1% | 4.07 | 3.43 | 2.48 | 2.94 | W |
| 2026-02-03 | BUF | 61.0% | 3.40 | 3.22 | 3.80 | 2.70 | W |
| 2026-02-01 | BOS | 64.1% | 3.78 | 3.17 | 5.50 | 4.35 | W |
| 2026-01-29 | WPG | 65.3% | 3.90 | 3.11 | 3.70 | 2.10 | W |
| 2026-01-26 | UTA | 61.5% | 3.69 | 2.90 | 3.60 | 4.02 | W |
| 2026-01-24 | CBJ | 49.0% | 3.09 | 3.11 | 2.41 | 4.05 | L |
| 2026-01-23 | CHI | 53.3% | 3.18 | 2.36 | 5.35 | 2.98 | W |
| 2026-01-20 | SJS | 69.9% | 3.32 | 3.08 | 3.85 | 1.12 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | 7:00 PM EST | CAR | 32.6% | 2.12 | 3.35 |
| 2026-02-28 | 7:00 PM EST | BUF | 59.2% | 3.48 | 3.37 |
| 2026-03-03 | 8:30 PM CST | MIN | 33.0% | 2.25 | 3.78 |
| 2026-03-05 | 7:00 PM CST | WPG | 45.8% | 2.92 | 3.08 |
| 2026-03-07 | 7:00 PM EST | TOR | 43.3% | 2.91 | 3.32 |
| 2026-03-08 | 6:00 PM EDT | BUF | 40.8% | 2.82 | 3.40 |
| 2026-03-10 | 7:00 PM EDT | CBJ | 53.5% | 2.91 | 1.74 |
| 2026-03-12 | 7:00 PM EDT | DET | 54.5% | 2.91 | 2.56 |