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2025-26 Season Live

Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Odds & Team Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL
Eastern
Season Record: 38-14-4 (80 pts, 71.4%)
Last 5 games:
90% win rate

Points Percentage

71.4%
80 pts in 56 games

Overtime Record

9-4
OT/SO: 9 wins, 4 losses

Recent Expected Goals

3.41
For per game (last 10 games)

Expected Against

3.13
Allowed per game (last 10 games)

Playoff Odds

99.4%
Chance to make playoffs.

Stanley Cup Odds

2.2%
Projected via season-long simulation.

Conference Outlook

4.9%
Eastern Conference title probability.

Top Players

Player GP Shots xG Goals
Brandon Hagel5023728.827
Jake Guentzel5622328.727
Nikita Kucherov5227224.732
Brayden Point3612516.515
Oliver Bjorkstrand5415315.910
Anthony Cirelli4813715.715

Team Trends (15-game rolling)

Rolling Win Prediction Accuracy (15g)0.000.501.00Accuracy
xG Differential (15g rolling)-0.570.331.24xG For - Against
Goals vs xG (15g rolling)2.403.534.67Goals ForxG For
Cumulative Points vs Expected1.00135.50270.00ActualExpected

Recent Results

DateOpponentPred Win%Exp ForExp AgainstxG ForxG AgainstResult
2026-02-26CAR32.6%2.123.35--W
2026-02-25TOR58.4%3.523.526.084.06W
2026-02-05FLA63.1%4.073.432.482.94W
2026-02-03BUF61.0%3.403.223.802.70W
2026-02-01BOS64.1%3.783.175.504.35W
2026-01-29WPG65.3%3.903.113.702.10W
2026-01-26UTA61.5%3.692.903.604.02W
2026-01-24CBJ49.0%3.093.112.414.05L
2026-01-23CHI53.3%3.182.365.352.98W
2026-01-20SJS69.9%3.323.083.851.12W

Upcoming Games

DateLocal TimeOpponentPred Win%Exp ForExp Against
2026-02-267:00 PM ESTCAR32.6%2.123.35
2026-02-287:00 PM ESTBUF59.2%3.483.37
2026-03-038:30 PM CSTMIN33.0%2.253.78
2026-03-057:00 PM CSTWPG45.8%2.923.08
2026-03-077:00 PM ESTTOR43.3%2.913.32
2026-03-086:00 PM EDTBUF40.8%2.823.40
2026-03-107:00 PM EDTCBJ53.5%2.911.74
2026-03-127:00 PM EDTDET54.5%2.912.56