Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL
Eastern
Season Record:
50-26-6
(106 pts, 64.6%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
64.6%
106 pts in 82 games
Overtime Record
10-6
OT/SO: 10 wins, 6 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.42
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.06
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.54
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-2.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
41
38W – 3L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
3
2W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
100.0%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
4.1%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
9.7%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 80 | 320 | 38.5 | 38 |
| Brandon Hagel | 70 | 325 | 37.6 | 36 |
| Nikita Kucherov | 76 | 382 | 33.4 | 46 |
| Brayden Point | 58 | 190 | 24.8 | 20 |
| Anthony Cirelli | 65 | 185 | 21.3 | 23 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | NYR | 58.8% | 3.47 | 2.51 | 4.50 | 3.10 | L |
| 2026-04-13 | DET | 55.5% | 3.33 | 3.07 | 2.89 | 3.08 | W |
| 2026-04-11 | BOS | 55.0% | 2.76 | 2.96 | 2.76 | 2.29 | W |
| 2026-04-09 | MTL | 60.8% | 3.44 | 3.44 | 2.11 | 4.33 | L |
| 2026-04-07 | OTT | 30.9% | 2.84 | 3.32 | 2.25 | 5.22 | L |
| 2026-04-06 | BUF | 52.8% | 3.24 | 3.13 | 2.63 | 3.56 | L |
| 2026-04-04 | BOS | 72.3% | 4.15 | 2.46 | 3.17 | 2.52 | W |
| 2026-04-02 | PIT | 61.1% | 3.14 | 2.58 | 4.97 | 2.03 | W |
| 2026-03-31 | MTL | 63.8% | 4.22 | 2.80 | 3.46 | 3.53 | L |
| 2026-03-29 | NSH | 72.3% | 3.62 | 2.67 | 4.23 | 3.26 | W |
Upcoming Games
No upcoming games scheduled.