Vegas Golden Knights Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK
Western
Season Record:
5-2-0
(10 pts, 71.4%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
Points Percentage
71.4%
10 pts in 7 games
Overtime Record
2-0
OT/SO: 2 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.39
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.75
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+1.24
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-2.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
3
3W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
2
2W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
45.1%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.7%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.8%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
45.2/gm · p78
Slot Location style
31.9% · p84
Finishing variance
1.03 G/xG · p62
Shot Quality
0.082 xG/sh · p75
Defense
Shot Suppression
35.2/gm · p92
Slot Defense
26.1% allowed · p78
Goaltending variance
0.99 GA/xGA · p47
Quality Allowed
0.063 xG/sh · p100
Regression Watch
Vegas Golden Knights is finishing 7% below expected (0.93). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 7 | 32 | 4.5 | 3 |
| Mark Stone | 6 | 23 | 3.3 | 3 |
| Brett Howden | 6 | 21 | 2.4 | 1 |
| Trevor Connelly | 6 | 24 | 2.3 | 2 |
| Jack Eichel | 7 | 25 | 2.2 | 3 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | MIN | 70.0% | 3.11 | 2.79 | 3.06 | 4.31 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | LAK | 68.9% | 3.69 | 3.04 | 2.60 | 1.89 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | TOR | 57.3% | 3.11 | 4.13 | 6.47 | 3.79 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | SEA | 58.1% | 3.12 | 3.03 | 3.66 | 2.64 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | VAN | 54.7% | 4.02 | 2.25 | 4.41 | 1.62 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | ANA | 74.7% | 4.65 | 2.25 | 3.44 | 2.74 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | CHI | 54.8% | 3.55 | 2.70 | 4.34 | 2.27 | W |
| 2026-06-14 | CAR | 53.7% | 3.33 | 2.89 | - | - | L |
| 2026-06-11 | CAR | 36.7% | 2.36 | 3.44 | - | - | L |
| 2026-06-09 | CAR | 49.7% | 2.99 | 3.13 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | 7:45 PM CDT | NSH | 61.1% | 3.09 | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM PDT | CGY | 67.2% | 3.51 | 2.92 |
| 2026-10-17 | 7:00 PM PDT | PIT | 70.8% | 4.10 | 3.09 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:30 PM PDT | TBL | 49.7% | 3.57 | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM CDT | STL | 54.0% | 3.46 | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | CBJ | 55.1% | 3.34 | 2.96 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM PDT | OTT | 70.2% | 3.73 | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-30 | 3:00 PM PDT | NJD | 57.4% | 3.29 | 2.76 |