Vegas Golden Knights Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK
Western
Season Record:
53-33-18
(124 pts, 59.6%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
Points Percentage
59.6%
124 pts in 104 games
Overtime Record
13-18
OT/SO: 13 wins, 18 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.93
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.87
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.58
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-15.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
33
30W – 3L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
6
5W – 1L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
45.1%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.7%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.8%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
43.5/gm · p75
Slot Location style
31.4% · p94
Finishing variance
0.95 G/xG · p38
Shot Quality
0.077 xG/sh · p69
Defense
Shot Suppression
38.2/gm · p94
Slot Defense
27.0% allowed · p88
Goaltending variance
1.06 GA/xGA · p16
Quality Allowed
0.071 xG/sh · p91
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Shots | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hertl | 98 | 387 | 42.8 | 28 |
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 102 | 435 | 40.8 | 50 |
| Jack Eichel | 96 | 453 | 35.2 | 29 |
| Mark Stone | 74 | 259 | 31.5 | 35 |
| Mitch Marner | 95 | 344 | 29.0 | 36 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | CAR | 49.9% | 3.29 | 3.28 | 2.55 | 2.67 | L |
| 2026-06-11 | CAR | 36.6% | 2.51 | 3.40 | 4.07 | 3.54 | L |
| 2026-06-09 | CAR | 48.2% | 2.98 | 3.34 | 2.51 | 3.37 | L |
| 2026-06-06 | CAR | 47.5% | 2.90 | 3.16 | 3.27 | 3.47 | W |
| 2026-06-04 | CAR | 34.6% | 2.64 | 3.58 | 3.26 | 2.94 | L |
| 2026-06-02 | CAR | 40.1% | 3.68 | 3.26 | 4.72 | 2.73 | W |
| 2026-05-26 | COL | 36.1% | 2.72 | 3.40 | 3.26 | 1.91 | W |
| 2026-05-24 | COL | 36.0% | 2.78 | 3.35 | 4.23 | 3.71 | W |
| 2026-05-22 | COL | 38.4% | 2.84 | 3.29 | 2.90 | 2.41 | W |
| 2026-05-20 | COL | 41.4% | 2.94 | 3.15 | 4.70 | 3.10 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | 7:00 PM PDT | ANA | 53.0% | 2.99 | 3.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | 6:00 PM PDT | VAN | 65.2% | 3.74 | 1.99 |
| 2026-10-06 | 6:40 PM PDT | SEA | 61.5% | 4.09 | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-08 | 7:00 PM PDT | TOR | 52.8% | 3.30 | 3.42 |
| 2026-10-10 | 7:00 PM PDT | LAK | 51.0% | 3.17 | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-12 | 7:00 PM CDT | MIN | 59.5% | 3.23 | 2.21 |
| 2026-10-13 | 7:45 PM CDT | NSH | 58.6% | 3.67 | 2.18 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM PDT | CGY | 50.1% | 3.09 | 3.37 |