Winnipeg Jets Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Winnipeg Jets
WPG
Western
Season Record:
3-1-1
(7 pts, 70.0%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
Points Percentage
70.0%
7 pts in 5 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.04
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.63
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.60
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-2.2
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
4
3W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
49.3%
Chance to make playoffs.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.9%
Projected via season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.1%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
42.6/gm · p59
Slot Location style
27.7% · p31
Finishing variance
0.85 G/xG · p34
Shot Quality
0.071 xG/sh · p31
Defense
Shot Suppression
48.8/gm · p9
Slot Defense
26.6% allowed · p75
Goaltending variance
0.83 GA/xGA · p69
Quality Allowed
0.074 xG/sh · p69
Regression Watch
Winnipeg Jets is finishing 15% below expected (0.85). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 5 | 36 | 3.0 | 6 |
| Cole Perfetti | 5 | 24 | 2.6 | 3 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 5 | 18 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Mark Scheifele | 5 | 14 | 1.6 | 0 |
| Morgan Barron | 5 | 12 | 0.9 | 0 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | ANA | 47.0% | 3.10 | 2.85 | 2.20 | 3.86 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | COL | 36.3% | 1.69 | 3.67 | 1.98 | 3.01 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | PIT | 23.8% | 4.15 | 3.46 | 3.85 | 3.35 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 34.9% | 3.73 | 2.82 | 3.04 | 4.78 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | BOS | 52.1% | 3.03 | 4.26 | 4.14 | 3.15 | L |
| 2026-04-16 | SJS | 60.1% | 3.16 | 3.26 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-14 | UTA | 29.9% | 2.97 | 3.52 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-13 | VGK | 39.3% | 2.97 | 3.16 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-11 | PHI | 50.5% | 2.96 | 3.32 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-09 | STL | 39.2% | 2.65 | 3.16 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | 7:15 PM CDT | MIN | 61.8% | 3.24 | 2.91 |
| 2026-10-15 | 7:00 PM CDT | CHI | 46.9% | 3.50 | 3.02 |
| 2026-10-17 | 2:30 PM CDT | CAR | 35.0% | 2.34 | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM CDT | STL | 38.5% | 2.40 | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM CDT | DAL | 25.3% | 2.64 | 4.17 |
| 2026-10-25 | 6:00 PM CDT | MTL | 30.2% | 2.95 | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | FLA | 36.3% | 3.12 | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM EDT | TBL | 23.2% | 2.46 | 4.32 |