Boston Bruins Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Boston Bruins
BOS
Eastern
Season Record:
7-2-0
(14 pts, 77.8%)
Last 5 games:
70% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Boston Bruins have a 59.0% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Boston Bruins make the playoffs?
It's close to a coin flip. Our season simulation gives the Boston Bruins a 59.0% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds -144) and a 2.4% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +3,998). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
77.8%
14 pts in 9 games
Overtime Record
1-0
OT/SO: 1 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.05
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.15
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.07
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+6.3
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
5
5W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
59.0%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds -144). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.4%
Fair odds +3,998, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
5.1%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
39.3/gm · p41
Slot Location style
28.5% · p38
Finishing variance
1.23 G/xG · p88
Shot Quality
0.078 xG/sh · p56
Defense
Shot Suppression
42.4/gm · p38
Slot Defense
26.2% allowed · p88
Goaltending variance
0.67 GA/xGA · p97
Quality Allowed
0.074 xG/sh · p72
Regression Watch
Boston Bruins is finishing 23% above expected (1.23). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Pastrnak | 9 | 47 | 3.2 | 4 |
| Elias Lindholm | 9 | 24 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Fraser Minten | 9 | 30 | 2.6 | 4 |
| JJ Peterka | 7 | 22 | 2.1 | 3 |
| James Hagens | 8 | 22 | 2.0 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | LAK | 30.5% | 2.80 | 4.06 | 3.25 | 2.66 | W |
| 2026-10-16 | ANA | 59.4% | 3.42 | 3.00 | 3.36 | 3.75 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | SJS | 65.5% | 3.14 | 2.70 | 3.96 | 3.06 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | PHI | 76.0% | 3.41 | 2.02 | 3.31 | 1.26 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | UTA | 51.2% | 2.96 | 3.24 | 2.26 | 4.76 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | OTT | 56.9% | 3.08 | 3.41 | 2.33 | 2.46 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | MIN | 33.0% | 2.93 | 3.78 | 2.61 | 4.08 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | WPG | 47.9% | 4.26 | 3.03 | 3.15 | 4.14 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | NYR | 44.4% | 1.72 | 3.49 | 3.47 | 2.13 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | BUF | 44.2% | 2.75 | 3.40 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM CDT | DAL | 42.6% | 3.51 | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | NSH | 54.8% | 3.17 | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | SJS | 61.2% | 3.66 | 2.92 |
| 2026-10-27 | 8:00 PM EDT | CAR | 30.8% | 2.58 | 3.50 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | STL | 43.3% | 3.10 | 3.27 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1:00 PM EDT | CHI | 74.8% | 3.61 | 2.51 |
| 2026-11-02 | 7:00 PM EST | VGK | 48.5% | 2.95 | 3.06 |
| 2026-11-05 | 7:00 PM EST | PIT | 32.0% | 2.82 | 3.69 |