Chicago Blackhawks Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI
Western
Season Record:
3-6-0
(6 pts, 33.3%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Chicago Blackhawks have a 12.4% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Chicago Blackhawks make the playoffs?
Unlikely. Our season simulation gives the Chicago Blackhawks a 12.4% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +705) and a 0.0% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +249,900). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
33.3%
6 pts in 9 games
Overtime Record
1-0
OT/SO: 1 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.50
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.65
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-1.04
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-2.4
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
3
2W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
12.4%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +705). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.0%
Fair odds +249,900, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
0.3%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
33.8/gm · p9
Slot Location style
29.3% · p44
Finishing variance
0.90 G/xG · p31
Shot Quality
0.077 xG/sh · p53
Defense
Shot Suppression
47.1/gm · p12
Slot Defense
31.1% allowed · p28
Goaltending variance
1.10 GA/xGA · p38
Quality Allowed
0.077 xG/sh · p53
Regression Watch
Chicago Blackhawks is finishing 10% below expected (0.90). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Nazar | 7 | 20 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 9 | 16 | 2.1 | 2 |
| Patrick Kane | 8 | 31 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Jordan Greenway | 7 | 18 | 1.9 | 1 |
| Anton Frondell | 9 | 24 | 1.7 | 1 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | DAL | 46.0% | 2.75 | 3.44 | 2.49 | 3.24 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | WPG | 51.8% | 2.97 | 3.46 | 3.15 | 3.46 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | PIT | 28.1% | 2.03 | 4.08 | 3.24 | 3.82 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | CAR | 19.3% | 1.49 | 3.66 | 2.58 | 3.65 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | NYI | 24.8% | 2.41 | 4.22 | 2.40 | 3.07 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | STL | 40.6% | 2.64 | 4.02 | 3.03 | 3.25 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | BUF | 15.2% | 2.19 | 4.41 | 2.56 | 4.09 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | UTA | 23.4% | 2.74 | 3.87 | 1.72 | 3.90 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | VGK | 45.2% | 2.70 | 3.55 | 2.27 | 4.34 | L |
| 2026-04-15 | SJS | 39.5% | 3.08 | 3.17 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | 7:00 PM CDT | MTL | 32.0% | 2.61 | 3.23 |
| 2026-10-25 | 2:00 PM CDT | FLA | 29.3% | 2.10 | 3.33 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | LAK | 37.0% | 3.28 | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:30 PM EDT | DET | 23.0% | 1.98 | 3.31 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1:00 PM EDT | BOS | 25.2% | 2.51 | 3.61 |
| 2026-11-02 | 7:00 PM CST | COL | 28.4% | 2.76 | 3.81 |
| 2026-11-04 | 7:30 PM EST | FLA | 16.0% | 2.48 | 4.02 |
| 2026-11-05 | 7:00 PM EST | TBL | 16.0% | 2.87 | 5.22 |