Detroit Red Wings Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Detroit Red Wings
DET
Eastern
Season Record:
3-3-2
(8 pts, 50.0%)
Last 5 games:
30% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Detroit Red Wings have a 38.2% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Detroit Red Wings make the playoffs?
It's an uphill climb. Our season simulation gives the Detroit Red Wings a 38.2% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +162) and a 1.1% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +9,159). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
50.0%
8 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
1-2
OT/SO: 1 wins, 2 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.38
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.82
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.16
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-9.3
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
3
2W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
38.2%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +162). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
1.1%
Fair odds +9,159, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
2.6%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
46.0/gm · p77
Slot Location style
30.1% · p69
Finishing variance
0.78 G/xG · p12
Shot Quality
0.074 xG/sh · p28
Defense
Shot Suppression
37.8/gm · p78
Slot Defense
29.1% allowed · p53
Goaltending variance
1.02 GA/xGA · p50
Quality Allowed
0.087 xG/sh · p12
Regression Watch
Detroit Red Wings is finishing 32% below expected (0.68). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 8 | 46 | 4.0 | 5 |
| Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | 8 | 34 | 3.8 | 2 |
| Viktor Arvidsson | 8 | 34 | 3.6 | 3 |
| Lucas Raymond | 8 | 36 | 2.7 | 0 |
| Emmitt Finnie | 8 | 23 | 2.2 | 3 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | SJS | 70.1% | 4.04 | 2.84 | 3.95 | 5.42 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | PHI | 72.7% | 3.75 | 3.28 | 3.82 | 2.49 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | NJD | 54.1% | 3.21 | 2.93 | 2.22 | 4.91 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | MTL | 33.5% | 2.89 | 3.52 | 5.00 | 5.48 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | SEA | 61.7% | 3.80 | 2.57 | 4.07 | 3.48 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | OTT | 71.5% | 3.72 | 5.20 | 3.78 | 2.73 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | WPG | 65.1% | 2.82 | 3.73 | 4.78 | 3.04 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | NYR | 53.2% | 3.74 | 2.85 | 1.71 | 3.00 | L |
| 2026-04-15 | FLA | 45.2% | 2.87 | 3.66 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-13 | TBL | 39.8% | 2.93 | 3.41 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 6:40 PM PDT | SEA | 56.5% | 3.42 | 2.83 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM PDT | VAN | 69.0% | 3.83 | 2.36 |
| 2026-10-24 | 8:00 PM MDT | CGY | 47.6% | 3.04 | 2.98 |
| 2026-10-26 | 7:30 PM MDT | EDM | 56.7% | 2.81 | 3.30 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:30 PM EDT | CHI | 77.0% | 3.31 | 1.98 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1:00 PM EDT | STL | 53.2% | 2.91 | 3.23 |
| 2026-11-02 | 7:00 PM EST | FLA | 40.2% | 2.95 | 3.22 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | TBL | 22.4% | 2.82 | 3.93 |