Edmonton Oilers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Edmonton Oilers
EDM
Western
Season Record:
6-1-1
(13 pts, 81.2%)
Last 5 games:
70% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Edmonton Oilers have a 68.8% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the playoffs?
More likely than not. Our season simulation gives the Edmonton Oilers a 68.8% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds -221) and a 2.4% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +4,067). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
81.2%
13 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.08
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.71
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.45
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+11.8
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
6
6W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
68.8%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds -221). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
2.4%
Fair odds +4,067, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
6.7%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
38.2/gm · p31
Slot Location style
25.5% · p16
Finishing variance
1.47 G/xG · p100
Shot Quality
0.082 xG/sh · p91
Defense
Shot Suppression
39.5/gm · p69
Slot Defense
29.7% allowed · p44
Goaltending variance
1.11 GA/xGA · p34
Quality Allowed
0.069 xG/sh · p94
Regression Watch
Edmonton Oilers is finishing 47% above expected (1.47). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Draisaitl | 8 | 41 | 4.2 | 6 |
| Vasily Podkolzin | 7 | 30 | 4.1 | 7 |
| Connor McDavid | 7 | 32 | 3.8 | 6 |
| Evan Bouchard | 8 | 41 | 1.9 | 6 |
| Kasperi Kapanen | 7 | 18 | 1.9 | 3 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | UTA | 28.4% | 2.83 | 4.07 | 2.83 | 2.98 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | UTA | 43.5% | 2.65 | 3.32 | 2.02 | 3.61 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | LAK | 52.5% | 3.62 | 2.55 | 1.94 | 3.20 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | SJS | 68.5% | 2.07 | 2.15 | 3.98 | 1.65 | W |
| 2026-10-07 | ANA | 75.0% | 1.70 | 1.71 | 2.73 | 3.31 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | SEA | 47.2% | 2.46 | 4.27 | 3.45 | 1.67 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | VAN | 77.0% | 4.01 | 1.48 | 4.30 | 3.19 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | VAN | 56.2% | 3.82 | 2.96 | 3.91 | 2.04 | L |
| 2026-04-30 | ANA | 45.7% | 3.22 | 3.32 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-28 | ANA | 56.1% | 4.40 | 3.00 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM MDT | MIN | 56.7% | 3.51 | 2.86 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM MDT | CAR | 50.3% | 3.38 | 3.19 |
| 2026-10-24 | 5:00 PM MDT | TOR | 46.9% | 3.37 | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-26 | 7:30 PM MDT | DET | 43.3% | 3.30 | 2.81 |
| 2026-10-28 | 6:30 PM MDT | CGY | 51.2% | 3.34 | 2.77 |
| 2026-10-31 | 2:00 PM EDT | NYI | 51.4% | 2.96 | 2.93 |
| 2026-11-01 | 6:00 PM EST | NYR | 44.0% | 2.99 | 2.86 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:30 PM EST | NJD | 22.0% | 1.98 | 3.96 |