Florida Panthers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Florida Panthers
FLA
Eastern
Season Record:
5-2-2
(12 pts, 66.7%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Florida Panthers have a 70.5% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Florida Panthers make the playoffs?
More likely than not. Our season simulation gives the Florida Panthers a 70.5% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds -239) and a 7.0% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +1,325). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
66.7%
12 pts in 9 games
Overtime Record
2-2
OT/SO: 2 wins, 2 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.56
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.05
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.56
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-2.4
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
4
4W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
70.5%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds -239). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
7.0%
Fair odds +1,325, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
11.5%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
47.2/gm · p92
Slot Location style
28.0% · p31
Finishing variance
0.93 G/xG · p41
Shot Quality
0.076 xG/sh · p41
Defense
Shot Suppression
37.8/gm · p81
Slot Defense
24.4% allowed · p94
Goaltending variance
0.91 GA/xGA · p66
Quality Allowed
0.081 xG/sh · p25
Regression Watch
Florida Panthers is finishing 7% below expected (0.93). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Reinhart | 9 | 47 | 5.8 | 5 |
| Brady Tkachuk | 9 | 49 | 4.5 | 6 |
| Sam Bennett | 9 | 29 | 3.2 | 3 |
| Matthew Tkachuk | 9 | 31 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Carter Verhaeghe | 9 | 37 | 2.8 | 6 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | SEA | 74.8% | 4.00 | 2.88 | 4.28 | 1.69 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | VAN | 78.1% | 3.76 | 2.26 | 4.30 | 3.32 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | CBJ | 51.6% | 2.87 | 3.11 | 4.29 | 3.79 | W |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF | 47.2% | 2.88 | 3.11 | 3.67 | 3.80 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | MIN | 79.4% | 4.72 | 2.52 | 3.27 | 5.15 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | LAK | 32.8% | 2.81 | 3.29 | 2.91 | 1.87 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | ANA | 49.0% | 2.91 | 3.05 | 3.78 | 2.40 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | SJS | 64.9% | 4.22 | 4.91 | 3.88 | 3.30 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | CAR | 45.0% | 3.82 | 2.86 | 2.02 | 2.12 | W |
| 2026-04-15 | DET | 54.8% | 3.66 | 2.87 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 7:30 PM EDT | OTT | 56.3% | 3.54 | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | PIT | 43.8% | 3.07 | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-25 | 2:00 PM CDT | CHI | 70.7% | 3.33 | 2.10 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | WPG | 55.4% | 3.25 | 2.79 |
| 2026-10-30 | 7:00 PM EDT | WPG | 81.5% | 4.08 | 2.32 |
| 2026-11-02 | 7:00 PM EST | DET | 59.8% | 3.22 | 2.95 |
| 2026-11-04 | 7:30 PM EST | CHI | 84.0% | 4.02 | 2.48 |
| 2026-11-07 | 12:30 PM EST | WSH | 53.9% | 3.35 | 3.34 |