Minnesota Wild Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Minnesota Wild
MIN
Western
Season Record:
5-2-1
(11 pts, 68.8%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Minnesota Wild have a 50.4% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Minnesota Wild make the playoffs?
It's close to a coin flip. Our season simulation gives the Minnesota Wild a 50.4% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds -102) and a 1.1% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +8,829). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
68.8%
11 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.92
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.99
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.69
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-3.4
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
5
5W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
50.4%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds -102). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
1.1%
Fair odds +8,829, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
3.4%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
44.9/gm · p69
Slot Location style
29.2% · p41
Finishing variance
0.89 G/xG · p28
Shot Quality
0.082 xG/sh · p81
Defense
Shot Suppression
41.8/gm · p47
Slot Defense
27.8% allowed · p69
Goaltending variance
0.84 GA/xGA · p84
Quality Allowed
0.072 xG/sh · p84
Regression Watch
Minnesota Wild is finishing 11% below expected (0.89). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirill Kaprizov | 7 | 49 | 7.2 | 9 |
| Matt Boldy | 8 | 51 | 4.9 | 5 |
| Joel Eriksson Ek | 8 | 35 | 3.7 | 1 |
| Blake Coleman | 8 | 22 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Max Shabanov | 8 | 17 | 1.6 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | STL | 45.7% | 3.18 | 3.36 | 4.98 | 3.18 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | WPG | 38.3% | 2.91 | 3.24 | 2.67 | 2.81 | L |
| 2026-10-12 | VGK | 30.0% | 2.79 | 3.11 | 4.31 | 3.06 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | FLA | 20.6% | 2.52 | 4.72 | 5.15 | 3.27 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | TBL | 17.2% | 2.25 | 4.41 | 3.19 | 3.21 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | BUF | 39.6% | 2.86 | 3.89 | 1.88 | 3.92 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | BOS | 67.0% | 3.78 | 2.93 | 4.08 | 2.61 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | NSH | 59.4% | 3.27 | 2.53 | 3.09 | 1.88 | W |
| 2026-05-13 | COL | 32.4% | 2.65 | 3.76 | - | - | L |
| 2026-05-11 | COL | 42.4% | 2.97 | 3.31 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | 5:00 PM CDT | CBJ | 64.6% | 3.34 | 3.06 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM MDT | EDM | 43.3% | 2.86 | 3.51 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM MDT | CGY | 50.2% | 4.28 | 3.01 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM PDT | SEA | 49.1% | 3.34 | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-25 | 7:00 PM PDT | VAN | 56.6% | 4.65 | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM MDT | UTA | 28.8% | 2.71 | 3.75 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | NYI | 42.5% | 2.88 | 3.74 |
| 2026-11-01 | 3:30 PM EST | WSH | 41.1% | 2.93 | 2.92 |