New York Islanders Playoff Odds & Team Stats
New York Islanders
NYI
Eastern
Season Record:
4-3-1
(9 pts, 56.2%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
As of Oct 18, the New York Islanders have a 39.1% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the New York Islanders make the playoffs?
It's an uphill climb. Our season simulation gives the New York Islanders a 39.1% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +156) and a 0.7% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +15,052). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
56.2%
9 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.46
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.40
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.61
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+1.7
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
4
4W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
39.1%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +156). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.7%
Fair odds +15,052, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
1.5%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
36.9/gm · p22
Slot Location style
29.5% · p50
Finishing variance
1.16 G/xG · p81
Shot Quality
0.077 xG/sh · p44
Defense
Shot Suppression
40.4/gm · p53
Slot Defense
32.5% allowed · p19
Goaltending variance
0.69 GA/xGA · p94
Quality Allowed
0.082 xG/sh · p22
Regression Watch
New York Islanders is finishing 8% above expected (1.08). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 8 | 36 | 3.9 | 5 |
| Brayden Schenn | 8 | 20 | 2.4 | 2 |
| Matthew Schaefer | 8 | 44 | 1.8 | 0 |
| Victor Eklund | 7 | 17 | 1.6 | 1 |
| Kyle Palmieri | 6 | 19 | 1.4 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | TOR | 51.1% | 3.04 | 2.93 | 2.39 | 3.37 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | OTT | 44.6% | 3.30 | 3.44 | 2.53 | 4.08 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | VAN | 67.8% | 3.55 | 2.74 | 3.16 | 3.08 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | TBL | 42.8% | 3.45 | 2.96 | 2.40 | 2.95 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | CHI | 75.2% | 4.22 | 2.41 | 3.07 | 2.40 | W |
| 2026-10-06 | NYR | 44.0% | 3.37 | 2.96 | 2.31 | 4.64 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | NJD | 44.9% | 4.72 | 4.72 | 3.69 | 3.77 | W |
| 2026-09-30 | TOR | 38.8% | 2.86 | 3.59 | 2.73 | 2.87 | L |
| 2026-04-14 | CAR | 58.0% | 2.84 | 3.24 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-12 | MTL | 62.2% | 3.28 | 3.22 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM EDT | ANA | 61.5% | 3.24 | 2.96 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:30 PM EDT | LAK | 54.6% | 2.80 | 2.93 |
| 2026-10-25 | 5:00 PM CDT | DAL | 37.6% | 2.50 | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | NSH | 56.2% | 3.27 | 3.17 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | MIN | 57.5% | 3.74 | 2.88 |
| 2026-10-31 | 2:00 PM EDT | EDM | 48.6% | 2.93 | 2.96 |
| 2026-11-05 | 7:00 PM EST | CAR | 32.5% | 2.74 | 3.38 |
| 2026-11-07 | 7:00 PM EST | NJD | 28.2% | 2.77 | 3.27 |