New York Rangers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
New York Rangers
NYR
Eastern
Season Record:
6-3-1
(13 pts, 65.0%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
As of Oct 18, the New York Rangers have a 51.5% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the New York Rangers make the playoffs?
It's close to a coin flip. Our season simulation gives the New York Rangers a 51.5% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds -106) and a 0.7% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +13,789). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
65.0%
13 pts in 10 games
Overtime Record
0-1
OT/SO: 0 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.06
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.99
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+0.29
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-4.8
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
6
6W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
51.5%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds -106). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.7%
Fair odds +13,789, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
1.7%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
35.6/gm · p16
Slot Location style
34.6% · p97
Finishing variance
0.85 G/xG · p22
Shot Quality
0.092 xG/sh · p100
Defense
Shot Suppression
39.7/gm · p66
Slot Defense
33.0% allowed · p12
Goaltending variance
0.74 GA/xGA · p91
Quality Allowed
0.075 xG/sh · p62
Regression Watch
New York Rangers is finishing 15% below expected (0.85). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavel Dorofeyev | 10 | 41 | 4.1 | 2 |
| Alexis Lafrenière | 9 | 32 | 4.1 | 7 |
| Will Cuylle | 10 | 37 | 4.0 | 3 |
| Mika Zibanejad | 10 | 30 | 3.4 | 2 |
| Gabe Perreault | 9 | 28 | 2.9 | 3 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | CBJ | 37.8% | 3.37 | 3.03 | 3.63 | 3.05 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | NJD | 23.4% | 3.03 | 3.71 | 1.75 | 3.16 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | TBL | 39.9% | 3.03 | 2.91 | 3.00 | 2.49 | W |
| 2026-10-11 | VAN | 67.6% | 3.12 | 2.81 | 3.44 | 1.95 | W |
| 2026-10-09 | WSH | 44.4% | 3.17 | 2.75 | 2.91 | 4.70 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | NYI | 56.0% | 2.96 | 3.37 | 4.64 | 2.31 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | UTA | 54.1% | 3.35 | 3.91 | 3.67 | 4.15 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | DET | 46.8% | 2.85 | 3.74 | 3.00 | 1.71 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | TBL | 49.7% | 2.22 | 4.06 | 4.66 | 2.91 | W |
| 2026-09-29 | BOS | 55.6% | 3.49 | 1.72 | 2.13 | 3.47 | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 7:00 PM EDT | ANA | 48.2% | 3.33 | 3.02 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | TOR | 48.2% | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 36.8% | 2.97 | 3.33 |
| 2026-10-26 | 7:00 PM EDT | LAK | 48.4% | 2.78 | 3.27 |
| 2026-11-01 | 6:00 PM EST | EDM | 56.0% | 2.86 | 2.99 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | STL | 58.2% | 3.43 | 2.95 |
| 2026-11-05 | 7:00 PM EST | PHI | 70.6% | 3.59 | 2.68 |
| 2026-11-07 | 2:00 PM PST | SEA | 56.0% | 3.29 | 3.09 |