Philadelphia Flyers Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI
Eastern
Season Record:
1-6-3
(5 pts, 25.0%)
Last 5 games:
10% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Philadelphia Flyers have a 1.4% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the playoffs?
Unlikely. Our season simulation gives the Philadelphia Flyers a 1.4% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +7,043) and a 0.0% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds --). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
25.0%
5 pts in 10 games
Overtime Record
0-3
OT/SO: 0 wins, 3 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.02
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.85
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-1.45
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-9.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
2
1W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
1.4%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +7,043). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.0%
Fair odds --, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
0.0%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
32.0/gm · p3
Slot Location style
21.9% · p3
Finishing variance
0.61 G/xG · p3
Shot Quality
0.068 xG/sh · p12
Defense
Shot Suppression
48.6/gm · p6
Slot Defense
32.5% allowed · p22
Goaltending variance
0.91 GA/xGA · p69
Quality Allowed
0.078 xG/sh · p44
Regression Watch
Philadelphia Flyers is finishing 37% below expected (0.63). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matvei Michkov | 9 | 21 | 2.9 | 4 |
| Trevor Zegras | 9 | 24 | 2.7 | 2 |
| Tyson Foerster | 10 | 35 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Owen Tippett | 8 | 31 | 1.7 | 1 |
| Porter Martone | 8 | 18 | 1.4 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | OTT | 52.5% | 3.08 | 3.29 | 2.60 | 2.63 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | DET | 27.3% | 3.28 | 3.75 | 2.49 | 3.82 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | SEA | 36.9% | 2.35 | 3.64 | 4.40 | 4.34 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | CAR | 20.8% | 2.28 | 4.13 | 1.69 | 3.36 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | BOS | 24.0% | 2.02 | 3.41 | 1.26 | 3.31 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | OTT | 28.4% | 4.17 | 4.50 | 3.71 | 2.46 | L |
| 2026-10-05 | TBL | 19.8% | 2.54 | 4.68 | 1.75 | 5.57 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | CAR | 44.2% | 3.27 | 3.02 | 2.50 | 4.38 | L |
| 2026-10-01 | NJD | 28.6% | 4.68 | 3.04 | 1.85 | 4.13 | L |
| 2026-09-30 | PIT | 46.2% | 2.52 | 4.24 | 1.70 | 4.54 | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 7:00 PM EDT | COL | 29.1% | 2.57 | 3.76 |
| 2026-10-21 | 7:30 PM EDT | BUF | 27.5% | 2.59 | 4.23 |
| 2026-10-24 | 1:00 PM EDT | ANA | 54.8% | 3.32 | 3.52 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM EDT | CBJ | 40.4% | 2.55 | 3.38 |
| 2026-10-28 | 7:30 PM EDT | WSH | 23.8% | 2.54 | 3.42 |
| 2026-11-01 | 4:00 PM EST | UTA | 30.4% | 2.19 | 3.29 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | MIN | 39.0% | 2.90 | 3.05 |
| 2026-11-05 | 7:00 PM EST | NYR | 29.4% | 2.68 | 3.59 |