San Jose Sharks Playoff Odds & Team Stats
San Jose Sharks
SJS
Western
Season Record:
4-3-1
(9 pts, 56.2%)
Last 5 games:
50% win rate
As of Oct 18, the San Jose Sharks have a 31.2% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the San Jose Sharks make the playoffs?
It's an uphill climb. Our season simulation gives the San Jose Sharks a 31.2% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +221) and a 0.4% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +26,216). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
56.2%
9 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
4-1
OT/SO: 4 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.17
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
4.04
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-1.06
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-1.8
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
6
4W – 2L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
31.2%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +221). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.4%
Fair odds +26,216, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
0.9%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
36.3/gm · p19
Slot Location style
22.5% · p6
Finishing variance
1.15 G/xG · p78
Shot Quality
0.064 xG/sh · p6
Defense
Shot Suppression
44.3/gm · p25
Slot Defense
33.8% allowed · p6
Goaltending variance
0.97 GA/xGA · p56
Quality Allowed
0.089 xG/sh · p6
Regression Watch
San Jose Sharks is finishing 7% below expected (0.93). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 8 | 32 | 3.4 | 3 |
| Macklin Celebrini | 6 | 38 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Alexander Wennberg | 8 | 17 | 2.3 | 0 |
| Tyler Toffoli | 7 | 23 | 1.9 | 2 |
| Ivar Stenberg | 6 | 17 | 1.7 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | DET | 29.9% | 2.84 | 4.04 | 5.42 | 3.95 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | NSH | 50.6% | 3.05 | 3.31 | 4.38 | 4.70 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | BOS | 34.5% | 2.70 | 3.14 | 3.06 | 3.96 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | EDM | 31.5% | 2.15 | 2.07 | 1.65 | 3.98 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | STL | 37.3% | 2.97 | 3.68 | 2.43 | 3.41 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | DAL | 25.2% | 3.35 | 4.17 | 1.66 | 4.37 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | LAK | 57.3% | 3.35 | 3.16 | 1.86 | 4.08 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | FLA | 35.1% | 4.91 | 4.22 | 3.30 | 3.88 | W |
| 2026-04-16 | WPG | 39.9% | 3.26 | 3.16 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-15 | CHI | 60.5% | 3.17 | 3.08 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 7:30 PM EDT | TOR | 43.5% | 2.90 | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM EDT | MTL | 20.2% | 2.77 | 4.12 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM EDT | OTT | 44.7% | 2.80 | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | BOS | 38.8% | 2.92 | 3.66 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:30 PM PDT | BUF | 34.1% | 2.96 | 3.29 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM PDT | VAN | 57.8% | 3.27 | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-31 | 1:00 PM PDT | OTT | 44.2% | 3.03 | 3.45 |
| 2026-11-02 | 6:00 PM PST | CGY | 42.9% | 2.69 | 3.18 |