Utah Mammoth Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Utah Mammoth
UTA
Western
Season Record:
6-3-0
(12 pts, 66.7%)
Last 5 games:
60% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Utah Mammoth have a 92.6% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Utah Mammoth make the playoffs?
Very likely. Our season simulation gives the Utah Mammoth a 92.6% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds -1,251) and a 18.5% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +441). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
66.7%
12 pts in 9 games
Overtime Record
0-0
OT/SO: 0 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.48
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
2.68
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
+1.10
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-1.0
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
6
6W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
92.6%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds -1,251). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
18.5%
Fair odds +441, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
32.2%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
47.2/gm · p92
Slot Location style
30.6% · p75
Finishing variance
0.97 G/xG · p50
Shot Quality
0.080 xG/sh · p66
Defense
Shot Suppression
36.3/gm · p88
Slot Defense
30.0% allowed · p41
Goaltending variance
1.12 GA/xGA · p31
Quality Allowed
0.074 xG/sh · p75
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 8 | 34 | 3.9 | 2 |
| Nick Schmaltz | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | 6 |
| Dylan Guenther | 9 | 47 | 3.5 | 4 |
| Clayton Keller | 9 | 31 | 3.2 | 3 |
| Vincent Trocheck | 7 | 21 | 2.3 | 2 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | EDM | 71.6% | 4.07 | 2.83 | 2.98 | 2.83 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | EDM | 56.5% | 3.32 | 2.65 | 3.61 | 2.02 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | TOR | 71.2% | 3.75 | 2.92 | 2.59 | 3.14 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | BUF | 41.8% | 3.18 | 2.87 | 4.68 | 2.94 | W |
| 2026-10-08 | BOS | 48.8% | 3.24 | 2.96 | 4.76 | 2.26 | L |
| 2026-10-06 | NJD | 37.9% | 3.17 | 2.71 | 4.34 | 2.95 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | NYR | 45.9% | 3.91 | 3.35 | 4.15 | 3.67 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | CBJ | 69.1% | 3.25 | 2.34 | 2.96 | 2.62 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | CHI | 76.6% | 3.87 | 2.74 | 3.90 | 1.72 | W |
| 2026-05-01 | VGK | 44.9% | 3.00 | 3.24 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | 7:00 PM MDT | PIT | 48.7% | 3.67 | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM PDT | SEA | 75.2% | 3.10 | 2.80 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM MDT | TBL | 64.6% | 3.35 | 2.96 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM MDT | MIN | 71.2% | 3.75 | 2.71 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM EDT | PIT | 47.3% | 3.51 | 3.15 |
| 2026-11-01 | 4:00 PM EST | PHI | 69.6% | 3.29 | 2.19 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | TOR | 66.1% | 3.01 | 2.84 |
| 2026-11-05 | 7:00 PM EST | MTL | 56.6% | 3.30 | 2.88 |