Vancouver Canucks Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Vancouver Canucks
VAN
Western
Season Record:
2-7-1
(5 pts, 25.0%)
Last 5 games:
20% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Vancouver Canucks have a 11.1% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Vancouver Canucks make the playoffs?
Unlikely. Our season simulation gives the Vancouver Canucks a 11.1% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +798) and a 0.1% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +166,567). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
25.0%
5 pts in 10 games
Overtime Record
1-1
OT/SO: 1 wins, 1 losses
Recent Expected Goals
2.48
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.94
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-1.46
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+5.2
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
2
2W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
11.1%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +798). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.1%
Fair odds +166,567, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
0.3%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
33.2/gm · p6
Slot Location style
29.8% · p59
Finishing variance
1.21 G/xG · p84
Shot Quality
0.075 xG/sh · p31
Defense
Shot Suppression
46.2/gm · p19
Slot Defense
32.3% allowed · p25
Goaltending variance
1.14 GA/xGA · p25
Quality Allowed
0.085 xG/sh · p16
Regression Watch
Vancouver Canucks is finishing 21% above expected (1.21). This often regresses downward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake DeBrusk | 6 | 25 | 3.1 | 3 |
| Brock Boeser | 9 | 21 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Linus Karlsson | 10 | 25 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Liam Ohgren | 10 | 25 | 2.0 | 2 |
| Elias Pettersson | 10 | 24 | 1.9 | 3 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | TBL | 20.6% | 2.03 | 4.24 | 1.73 | 5.23 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | FLA | 21.9% | 2.26 | 3.76 | 3.32 | 4.30 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | NYI | 32.2% | 2.74 | 3.55 | 3.08 | 3.16 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | NYR | 32.4% | 2.81 | 3.12 | 1.95 | 3.44 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | NJD | 17.3% | 2.25 | 4.85 | 2.36 | 3.79 | L |
| 2026-10-08 | CAR | 44.1% | 3.21 | 2.68 | 1.96 | 4.97 | L |
| 2026-10-04 | VGK | 45.3% | 2.25 | 4.02 | 1.62 | 4.41 | L |
| 2026-10-03 | CGY | 57.2% | 2.80 | 3.48 | 3.55 | 1.87 | W |
| 2026-10-01 | EDM | 23.0% | 1.48 | 4.01 | 3.19 | 4.30 | L |
| 2026-09-29 | EDM | 43.8% | 2.96 | 3.82 | 2.04 | 3.91 | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM PDT | CAR | 18.5% | 1.97 | 6.18 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM PDT | DET | 31.0% | 2.36 | 3.83 |
| 2026-10-25 | 7:00 PM PDT | MIN | 43.4% | 2.76 | 4.65 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM PDT | ANA | 26.1% | 2.89 | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM PDT | SJS | 42.2% | 2.71 | 3.27 |
| 2026-10-31 | 4:00 PM PDT | TOR | 41.9% | 2.78 | 4.24 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM MST | ANA | 53.7% | 2.84 | 3.53 |
| 2026-11-05 | 6:00 PM CST | WPG | 27.2% | 2.81 | 3.84 |