Winnipeg Jets Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Winnipeg Jets
WPG
Western
Season Record:
4-2-2
(10 pts, 62.5%)
Last 5 games:
40% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Winnipeg Jets have a 41.1% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Winnipeg Jets make the playoffs?
It's close to a coin flip. Our season simulation gives the Winnipeg Jets a 41.1% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +143) and a 0.7% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +14,186). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
62.5%
10 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
0-2
OT/SO: 0 wins, 2 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.02
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
3.42
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.32
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
-1.8
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
5
4W – 1L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
41.1%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +143). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.7%
Fair odds +14,186, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
2.0%
Western Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
42.4/gm · p59
Slot Location style
31.3% · p84
Finishing variance
0.93 G/xG · p44
Shot Quality
0.073 xG/sh · p22
Defense
Shot Suppression
46.8/gm · p16
Slot Defense
29.1% allowed · p47
Goaltending variance
0.88 GA/xGA · p78
Quality Allowed
0.073 xG/sh · p78
Regression Watch
Winnipeg Jets is finishing 7% below expected (0.93). This often rebounds upward.
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 8 | 50 | 4.1 | 8 |
| Cole Perfetti | 8 | 38 | 3.8 | 5 |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 7 | 27 | 2.7 | 0 |
| Mark Scheifele | 8 | 24 | 2.6 | 2 |
| Morgan Barron | 8 | 17 | 1.4 | 0 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | CAR | 35.3% | 1.67 | 3.02 | 3.35 | 3.42 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | CHI | 48.2% | 3.46 | 2.97 | 3.46 | 3.15 | L |
| 2026-10-13 | MIN | 61.7% | 3.24 | 2.91 | 2.81 | 2.67 | W |
| 2026-10-09 | ANA | 47.0% | 3.10 | 2.85 | 2.20 | 3.86 | L |
| 2026-10-07 | COL | 36.3% | 1.69 | 3.67 | 1.98 | 3.01 | W |
| 2026-10-05 | PIT | 23.8% | 4.15 | 3.46 | 3.85 | 3.35 | W |
| 2026-10-04 | DET | 34.9% | 3.73 | 2.82 | 3.04 | 4.78 | W |
| 2026-10-02 | BOS | 52.1% | 3.03 | 4.26 | 4.14 | 3.15 | L |
| 2026-04-16 | SJS | 60.1% | 3.16 | 3.26 | - | - | L |
| 2026-04-14 | UTA | 29.9% | 2.97 | 3.52 | - | - | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM CDT | STL | 44.7% | 2.54 | 3.37 |
| 2026-10-22 | 7:00 PM CDT | DAL | 38.1% | 3.11 | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-25 | 6:00 PM CDT | MTL | 41.1% | 3.10 | 3.42 |
| 2026-10-27 | 7:00 PM CDT | FLA | 44.6% | 2.79 | 3.25 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM EDT | TBL | 28.5% | 1.93 | 3.80 |
| 2026-10-30 | 7:00 PM EDT | FLA | 18.5% | 2.32 | 4.08 |
| 2026-11-01 | 1:00 PM EST | CAR | 25.0% | 2.85 | 5.15 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | MTL | 30.0% | 2.92 | 4.20 |