Washington Capitals Playoff Odds & Team Stats
Washington Capitals
WSH
Eastern
Season Record:
5-3-0
(10 pts, 62.5%)
Last 5 games:
70% win rate
As of Oct 18, the Washington Capitals have a 39.7% chance to make the playoffs.
Will the Washington Capitals make the playoffs?
It's an uphill climb. Our season simulation gives the Washington Capitals a 39.7% chance to make the playoffs (fair odds +152) and a 0.4% chance to win the Stanley Cup (fair odds +26,216). It is early in the season, so expect these numbers to move a lot.
Points Percentage
62.5%
10 pts in 8 games
Overtime Record
0-0
OT/SO: 0 wins, 0 losses
Recent Expected Goals
3.19
For per game (last 10 games)
Expected Goals Against
4.00
Allowed per game (season-to-date)
xG Differential
-0.64
Expected goals for minus against (per game)
Goals Above Expected
+1.1
Actual goals for minus expected goals for
Flood Games
5
5W – 0L when a Flood occurred
Grip Games
0
0W – 0L when the Grip was held
Playoff Odds
39.7%
Chance to make playoffs (fair odds +152). Early season: expect big swings.
Stanley Cup Odds
0.4%
Fair odds +26,216, from the season-long simulation.
Conference Outlook
1.1%
Eastern Conference title probability.
Team Style Profile
Percentiles vs the league this season (p100 = top). Style axes describe how a team plays (higher isn't better or worse); colored axes are evaluative (higher = better), and variance axes (finishing, goaltending) tend to regress — treat them as luck, not skill.
Offense
Shot Volume style
39.5/gm · p44
Slot Location style
27.5% · p28
Finishing variance
1.04 G/xG · p66
Shot Quality
0.085 xG/sh · p97
Defense
Shot Suppression
47.6/gm · p9
Slot Defense
29.1% allowed · p50
Goaltending variance
0.75 GA/xGA · p88
Quality Allowed
0.084 xG/sh · p19
Top Scorers (xG Leaders)
| Player | GP | Unblocked attempts | xG | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Tuch | 8 | 37 | 4.2 | 5 |
| Ryan Leonard | 8 | 28 | 2.8 | 3 |
| Dylan Strome | 8 | 22 | 2.7 | 1 |
| Tom Wilson | 6 | 20 | 2.5 | 2 |
| Boone Jenner | 7 | 24 | 2.3 | 4 |
Team Trends (15-game rolling)
Recent Results
| Date | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against | xG For | xG Against | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | NJD | 33.3% | 2.84 | 3.01 | 2.46 | 4.20 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | MTL | 52.1% | 3.51 | 3.04 | 4.01 | 3.43 | W |
| 2026-10-13 | CAR | 28.2% | 2.15 | 3.48 | 2.50 | 4.68 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | SEA | 58.2% | 3.07 | 2.98 | 3.76 | 4.89 | L |
| 2026-10-09 | NYR | 55.6% | 2.75 | 3.17 | 4.70 | 2.91 | W |
| 2026-10-07 | PIT | 42.9% | 2.61 | 3.34 | 3.85 | 3.72 | W |
| 2026-10-03 | TBL | 42.8% | 4.50 | 3.43 | 2.57 | 4.11 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | CAR | 51.2% | 4.61 | 5.00 | 3.09 | 4.03 | W |
| 2026-04-14 | CBJ | 39.2% | 2.76 | 3.58 | - | - | W |
| 2026-04-12 | PIT | 57.1% | 3.10 | 1.99 | - | - | W |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Local Time | Opponent | Pred Win% | Exp For | Exp Against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | 7:00 PM EDT | LAK | 61.0% | 2.92 | 2.92 |
| 2026-10-24 | 7:00 PM EDT | BUF | 49.3% | 3.24 | 3.33 |
| 2026-10-28 | 7:30 PM EDT | PHI | 76.2% | 3.42 | 2.54 |
| 2026-10-29 | 7:00 PM CDT | NSH | 39.4% | 2.93 | 3.20 |
| 2026-11-01 | 3:30 PM EST | MIN | 58.9% | 2.92 | 2.93 |
| 2026-11-03 | 7:00 PM EST | DAL | 54.6% | 2.99 | 2.56 |
| 2026-11-07 | 12:30 PM EST | FLA | 46.1% | 3.34 | 3.35 |
| 2026-11-10 | 7:00 PM EST | OTT | 46.1% | 3.04 | 3.35 |