Recent Games xG - NHL Predictions

Recent Games - xG Analysis

Game-by-game comparison of expected goals (xG) vs actual goals. See which teams are outperforming or underperforming their shot quality.

Last 50 Games

Diff = Goals - xG. Positive (green) = outperformed xG, negative (red) = underperformed.

Date	Away	Shots	xG	Goals	Diff		Home	Shots	xG	Goals	Diff
2026-02-05	PIT	43	5.6	5	-0.6	@	BUF	49	3.4	2	-1.4
2026-02-05	NYI	28	2.7	3	+0.3	@	NJD	40	2.6	1	-1.6
2026-02-05	CAR	63	4.2	2	-2.2	@	NYR	26	2.0	0	-2.0
2026-02-05	OTT	39	3.0	2	-1.0	@	PHI	37	1.9	1	-0.9
2026-02-05	NSH	43	4.4	2	-2.4	@	WSH	41	2.9	4	+1.1
2026-02-05	FLA	47	2.9	1	-1.9	@	TBL	36	2.5	6	+3.5
2026-02-05	LAK	52	3.5	1	-2.5	@	VGK	34	2.7	4	+1.3
2026-02-04	BOS	48	4.8	4	-0.8	@	FLA	49	4.7	5	+0.3
2026-02-04	CHI	43	2.6	0	-2.6	@	CBJ	34	3.0	4	+1.0
2026-02-04	MTL	41	6.5	5	-1.5	@	WPG	62	5.7	1	-4.7
2026-02-04	MIN	61	4.2	6	+1.8	@	NSH	47	3.2	5	+1.8
2026-02-04	SJS	36	2.6	2	-0.6	@	COL	57	5.2	4	-1.2
2026-02-04	DET	53	3.7	1	-2.7	@	UTA	40	4.5	4	-0.5
2026-02-04	STL	27	2.3	4	+1.7	@	DAL	37	3.9	5	+1.1
2026-02-04	EDM	46	3.6	3	-0.6	@	CGY	48	3.9	4	+0.1
2026-02-04	VAN	33	1.6	2	+0.4	@	VGK	44	3.2	5	+1.8
2026-02-04	SEA	32	2.8	4	+1.2	@	LAK	44	2.5	2	-0.5
2026-02-03	CBJ	37	3.1	3	-0.1	@	NJD	38	2.3	0	-2.3
2026-02-03	WSH	39	3.0	2	-1.0	@	PHI	36	3.7	4	+0.3
2026-02-03	OTT	46	4.2	3	-1.2	@	CAR	32	2.7	4	+1.3
2026-02-03	BUF	38	2.7	3	+0.3	@	TBL	49	3.8	4	+0.2
2026-02-03	PIT	50	4.3	4	-0.3	@	NYI	35	2.2	5	+2.8
2026-02-03	TOR	38	3.7	5	+1.3	@	EDM	47	3.6	2	-1.6
2026-02-03	SEA	43	2.6	2	-0.6	@	ANA	50	3.9	4	+0.1
2026-02-02	BUF	36	3.7	5	+1.3	@	FLA	59	4.8	3	-1.8
2026-02-02	OTT	49	5.6	3	-2.6	@	PIT	26	2.6	2	-0.6
2026-02-02	NYI	50	3.5	1	-2.5	@	WSH	35	3.4	4	+0.6
2026-02-02	MTL	29	2.0	3	+1.0	@	MIN	50	3.1	4	+0.9
2026-02-02	STL	46	3.6	5	+1.4	@	NSH	48	3.5	6	+2.5
2026-02-02	SJS	43	2.8	3	+0.2	@	CHI	29	2.5	6	+3.5
2026-02-02	WPG	36	2.8	3	+0.2	@	DAL	50	4.8	4	-0.8
2026-02-02	DET	42	3.8	2	-1.8	@	COL	37	2.4	0	-2.4
2026-02-02	VAN	35	2.7	2	-0.7	@	UTA	34	2.5	6	+3.5
2026-02-02	TOR	35	2.7	4	+1.3	@	CGY	43	2.3	2	-0.3
2026-02-01	LAK	25	1.8	2	+0.2	@	CAR	51	4.3	3	-1.3
2026-02-01	BOS	45	4.3	5	+0.7	@	TBL	66	5.5	6	+0.5
2026-02-01	VGK	45	3.0	3	+0.0	@	ANA	39	2.4	4	+1.6
2026-01-31	LAK	37	2.4	3	+0.6	@	PHI	40	2.6	2	-0.6
2026-01-31	COL	46	3.7	5	+1.3	@	DET	43	2.6	0	-2.6
2026-01-31	NYR	30	2.0	5	+3.0	@	PIT	57	5.3	6	+0.7
2026-01-31	WPG	27	2.2	2	-0.2	@	FLA	41	1.9	1	-0.9
2026-01-31	SJS	35	3.2	2	-1.2	@	CGY	62	5.6	3	-2.6
2026-01-31	CAR	44	2.8	3	+0.2	@	WSH	63	5.2	4	-1.2
2026-01-31	MTL	42	5.0	4	-1.0	@	BUF	56	5.1	2	-3.1
2026-01-31	NJD	36	2.0	1	-1.0	@	OTT	44	3.7	4	+0.3
2026-01-31	NSH	56	5.2	4	-1.2	@	NYI	39	3.5	3	-0.5
2026-01-31	CBJ	41	3.3	5	+1.7	@	STL	47	2.9	3	+0.1
2026-01-31	TOR	69	5.1	3	-2.1	@	VAN	46	3.0	2	-1.0
2026-01-31	DAL	50	4.7	3	-1.7	@	UTA	26	2.1	2	-0.1
2026-01-31	MIN	45	4.2	7	+2.8	@	EDM	66	4.5	3	-1.5

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