Montreal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-05-18 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:30 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 61.6%
MTL: 38.4%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.03
MTL: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | BUF | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.943 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • BUF at home vs MTL: 2-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | BUF 3 - 6 MTL | MTL | BUF |
| 2026-05-12 | MTL 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-05-10 | MTL 6 - 2 BUF | MTL | BUF |
| 2026-05-08 | BUF 1 - 5 MTL | MTL | BUF |
| 2026-05-06 | BUF 4 - 2 MTL | BUF | BUF |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-05-18 at 7:30 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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