Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-05-02 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 68.5%
PHI: 31.5%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.57
PHI: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | CAR | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.918 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CAR at home vs PHI: 6-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | CAR | ||
| 2026-05-11 | CAR | ||
| 2026-05-09 | PHI 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-05-07 | PHI 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-05-04 | CAR 3 - 2 PHI | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:31 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 07:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:16 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.6 - 2.8
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