Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-05-03 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 9 - 6 Minnesota Wild
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 69.5%
MIN: 30.5%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.28
MIN: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
| Stat | COL | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.836 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.945 | 0.978 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 76% • COL at home vs MIN: 7-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | COL 4 - 3 MIN | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-11 | MIN 2 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-09 | MIN 5 - 1 COL | MIN | COL |
| 2026-05-05 | COL 5 - 2 MIN | COL | COL |
| 2026-05-03 | COL 9 - 6 MIN | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:04 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 13:13 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 15:02 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:04 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:16 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:45 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:43 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:55 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 18:04 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:21 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 05:43 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:01 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:06 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:52 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 69.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 15.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 9 - 6 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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