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Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-05-06 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
VGK: 55.7%
ANA: 44.3%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.31
ANA: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 59%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
StatVGKANA
Season SV%0.8950.888
Last 5 SV%0.8790.840
SV% vs Opponent0.8710.905
GAA2.503.15
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • VGK at home vs ANA: 5-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-05-14ANA 1 - 5 VGKVGKANA
2026-05-12VGK 3 - 2 ANAVGKVGK
2026-05-10ANA 4 - 3 VGKANAANA
2026-05-08ANA 2 - 6 VGKVGKANA
2026-05-06VGK 1 - 3 ANAANAVGK

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
211:23ANAGoal
306:36ANAGoal
316:30ANAGoal
319:54ANAGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 3 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1