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Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-05-14 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
ANA: 51.9%
VGK: 48.1%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.16
VGK: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
StatANAVGK
Season SV%0.8880.895
Last 5 SV%0.8400.879
SV% vs Opponent0.9050.871
GAA3.152.50
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-05-14ANA 1 - 5 VGKVGKANA
2026-05-12VGK 3 - 2 ANAVGKVGK
2026-05-10ANA 4 - 3 VGKANAANA
2026-05-08ANA 2 - 6 VGKVGKANA
2026-05-06VGK 1 - 3 ANAANAVGK

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
101:02VGKGoal
108:30VGKGoal
117:19VGKGoal
212:46VGKGoal
302:52VGKGoal
313:32VGKGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1