Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-05-21 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (81% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 81.3%

MTL: 18.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.00

MTL: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 8.9

Over 5.5: 86%

Over 6.5: 78%

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CAR at home vs MTL: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR
2026-03-29	CAR 1 - 3 MTL	MTL	CAR
2026-03-24	MTL 5 - 2 CAR	MTL	CAR
2026-01-01	CAR 5 - 7 MTL	MTL	CAR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 81.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 4.0 - 2.9