Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-05-21 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (81% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 80.6%
MTL: 19.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.90
MTL: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 51%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • CAR at home vs MTL: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 | CAR 6 - 1 MTL | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-05-27 | MTL 0 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-05-25 | MTL 2 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-05-23 | CAR 3 - 2 MTL | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-05-21 | CAR 2 - 6 MTL | MTL | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 20 | 0 | 1.01 |
| 1 | MTL | 18 | 1 | 1.83 |
| 2 | CAR | 21 | 1 | 1.58 |
| 2 | MTL | 8 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 3 | CAR | 10 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 3 | MTL | 6 | 1 | 1.32 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 80.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 7.1
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.9 - 3.2
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