Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-05-23 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

CAR: 79.6%

MTL: 20.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.79

MTL: 2.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • CAR at home vs MTL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.75
1	MTL	2	1	0.29
2	CAR	15	0	0.82
2	MTL	7	0	0.61
3	CAR	18	0	0.97
3	MTL	9	0	0.72
4	CAR	2	0	0.14
4	MTL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.8 - 2.1