Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-05-23 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 84.1%
MTL: 15.9%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.19
MTL: 2.60
Total Goals
Median: 9.1
Over 5.5: 86%
Over 6.5: 79%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | CAR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.727 | 0.922 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CAR at home vs MTL: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | CAR 3 - 2 MTL | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-05-21 | CAR 2 - 6 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-03-29 | CAR 1 - 3 MTL | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-03-24 | MTL 5 - 2 CAR | MTL | CAR |
| 2026-01-01 | CAR 5 - 7 MTL | MTL | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 84.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 4.2 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.