Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-05-25 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

MTL: 33.3%

CAR: 66.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.63

CAR: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	8	0	0.54
1	CAR	19	2	1.61
2	MTL	10	1	0.58
2	CAR	18	3	1.76
3	MTL	5	0	0.27
3	CAR	10	0	0.48
4	MTL	5	0	0.39
4	CAR	10	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3