Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-05-27 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

MTL: 27.7%

CAR: 72.3%

Expected Goals

MTL: 1.46

CAR: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-21	CAR 2 - 6 MTL	MTL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	8	0	0.26
1	CAR	19	1	1.21
2	MTL	12	0	0.63
2	CAR	23	2	2.13
3	MTL	4	0	0.15
3	CAR	29	3	3.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 4.5

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 1.5 - 3.1