Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-05-27 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 0 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MTL: 28.7%

CAR: 71.3%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.71

CAR: 4.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 13-5-3 | 0.889 SV% | 3.01 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Stat	MTL	CAR
Season SV%	0.889	0.865
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.01	3.38

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Jakub Dobes	44	40	4	90.9%	6.37	6	2.37
CAR	Frederik Andersen	18	18	0	100.0%	1.04	0	1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • MTL at home vs CAR: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	MTL 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	MTL
2026-05-29	CAR 6 - 1 MTL	CAR	CAR
2026-05-27	MTL 0 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-25	MTL 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-05-23	CAR 3 - 2 MTL	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	8	0	0.26
1	CAR	19	1	1.21
2	MTL	12	0	0.63
2	CAR	23	2	2.13
3	MTL	4	0	0.15
3	CAR	29	3	3.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown