Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-06-02 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 59.9%

VGK: 40.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.26

VGK: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs VGK: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	1.17
1	VGK	6	0	0.32
2	CAR	11	0	0.55
2	VGK	19	3	2.25
3	CAR	18	0	0.89
3	VGK	13	2	2.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.7