Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-06-06 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 47.5%

CAR: 52.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.90

CAR: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VGK at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	10	0	0.20
1	CAR	13	0	0.61
2	VGK	20	2	1.47
2	CAR	11	0	0.57
3	VGK	14	0	1.10
3	CAR	19	1	1.56
4	VGK	10	0	0.48
4	CAR	11	0	0.48
5	VGK	4	0	0.08
5	CAR	3	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2