Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-06-09 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

VGK: 48.2%

CAR: 51.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.98

CAR: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VGK at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.91
1	CAR	19	1	1.34
2	VGK	10	0	0.57
2	CAR	12	0	0.61
3	VGK	13	0	0.92
3	CAR	9	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3