Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-06-11 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

CAR: 63.4%

VGK: 36.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.40

VGK: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs VGK: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	11	0	0.26
1	VGK	13	1	0.91
2	CAR	16	1	1.50
2	VGK	16	1	1.09
3	CAR	16	3	1.84
3	VGK	21	2	1.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5