Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-06-14 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VGK: 52.0%

CAR: 48.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.21

CAR: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 34%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK

Carter Hart - 4-2-3 | 0.883 SV% | 3.18 GAA

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	VGK	CAR
Season SV%	0.883	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.18	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Carter Hart	23	20	3	87.0%	2.48	2	-0.52
CAR	Brandon Bussi	22	22	0	100.0%	2.46	1	2.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • VGK at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	VGK
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	12	1	1.06
1	CAR	15	0	0.68
2	VGK	8	0	0.43
2	CAR	14	1	1.08
3	VGK	17	0	0.98
3	CAR	7	1	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown