Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-10-01 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 3 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 40.6%

MIN: 59.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.77

MIN: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	NSH	MIN
Season SV%	0.897	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	27	3	90.0%	3.05	2	0.05
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	20	19	1	95.0%	1.89	0	0.89

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NSH at home vs MIN: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	NSH 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	0	0.79
1	MIN	16	1	1.09
2	NSH	9	0	0.57
2	MIN	17	0	1.06
3	NSH	11	0	0.53
3	MIN	16	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown