Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-10-01 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 7 - 9 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 23.7%

EDM: 76.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.41

EDM: 4.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

EDM

D. Levi

Stat	VAN	EDM
Season SV%	0.885	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	32	23	9	71.9%	4.15	4	-4.85
EDM	D. Levi	22	15	7	68.2%	3.08	4	-3.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	VAN 7 - 9 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	4	0	0.23
1	EDM	23	2	2.33
2	VAN	12	0	0.89
2	EDM	12	1	1.18
3	VAN	16	4	1.96
3	EDM	9	1	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 16.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown