Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-10-02 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Boston Bruins (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 49.9%

BOS: 50.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.00

BOS: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

S. Skinner

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Stat	WPG	BOS
Season SV%	—	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.84

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	S. Skinner	30	26	4	86.7%	3.08	1	-0.92
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	33	30	3	90.9%	3.92	4	0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WPG at home vs BOS: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-02	WPG 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	BOS
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	1	1.20
1	BOS	14	1	0.88
2	WPG	18	2	1.30
2	BOS	17	0	0.93
3	WPG	17	1	1.21
3	BOS	20	0	1.07
4	WPG	3	0	0.22
4	BOS	2	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0