Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-10-03 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 38.9%
OTT: 61.1%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.37
OTT: 4.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | TOR | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.843 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • TOR at home vs OTT: 3-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | OTT 3 - 1 TOR | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-03-21 | OTT 5 - 2 TOR | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-02-28 | TOR 2 - 5 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-27 | TOR 7 - 5 OTT | TOR | OTT |
| 2025-05-01 | OTT 2 - 4 TOR | TOR | OTT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-03 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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