Utah Mammoth at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-10-03 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 4 Utah Mammoth

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 27.7%

UTA: 72.3%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.35

UTA: 3.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

UTA

S. Cossa

Stat	CBJ	UTA
Season SV%	0.909	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	31	27	4	87.1%	2.85	1	-1.15
UTA	S. Cossa	18	17	1	94.4%	2.68	2	1.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CBJ at home vs UTA: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	CBJ 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-03-07	CBJ 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-11	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA
2025-02-06	CBJ 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	6	0	0.21
1	UTA	21	0	0.83
2	CBJ	13	1	1.10
2	UTA	11	0	0.75
3	CBJ	15	1	1.37
3	UTA	16	1	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown