Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-10-03 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 62.9%

BOS: 37.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.30

BOS: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

BOS

Michael DiPietro - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	MIN	BOS
Season SV%	0.928	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	27	26	1	96.3%	2.47	1	1.47
BOS	Michael DiPietro	30	26	4	86.7%	4.00	5	0.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • MIN at home vs BOS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	MIN 4 - 1 BOS	MIN	MIN
2026-03-28	BOS 6 - 3 MIN	BOS	MIN
2025-12-14	MIN 6 - 2 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-03-02	MIN 1 - 0 BOS	MIN	MIN
2025-02-04	BOS 3 - 0 MIN	BOS	BOS

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.55
1	BOS	13	0	0.36
2	MIN	18	2	1.21
2	BOS	9	0	0.80
3	MIN	11	3	2.24
3	BOS	17	1	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown