Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-10-06 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 46.9%

VGK: 53.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.05

VGK: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

VGK

Carter Hart - 4-2-3 | 0.883 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Stat	SEA	VGK
Season SV%	0.903	0.883
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	3.18

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	28	22	6	78.6%	3.55	3	-2.45
VGK	Carter Hart	27	25	2	92.6%	2.54	3	0.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	SEA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	15	1	0.96
1	VGK	14	1	0.97
2	SEA	9	0	0.54
2	VGK	19	1	1.33
3	SEA	11	2	1.04
3	VGK	11	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown