Florida Panthers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-10-06 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 64.5%

FLA: 35.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.43

FLA: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

FLA

J. Markstrom

Stat	LAK	FLA
Season SV%	0.913	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	28	26	2	92.9%	2.76	0	0.76
FLA	J. Markstrom	20	19	1	95.0%	1.84	0	0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs FLA: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	LAK 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	LAK
2025-12-17	FLA 3 - 2 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-11-06	LAK 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	LAK
2025-01-29	FLA 3 - 0 LAK	FLA	FLA
2025-01-22	LAK 2 - 1 FLA	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	LAK	11	0.53
1	FLA	14	0.65
2	LAK	12	0.78
2	FLA	20	1.45
3	LAK	9	0.52
3	FLA	12	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown