Edmonton Oilers at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-10-07 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 30.6%

EDM: 69.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.60

EDM: 3.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

EDM

D. Levi

Stat	ANA	EDM
Season SV%	0.888	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	19	14	5	73.7%	2.65	1	-2.35
EDM	D. Levi	31	29	2	93.5%	3.18	1	1.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • ANA at home vs EDM: 6-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-05	EDM 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	EDM
2026-10-07	ANA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-04-30	ANA 5 - 2 EDM	ANA	ANA
2026-04-28	EDM 4 - 1 ANA	EDM	EDM
2026-04-26	ANA 4 - 3 EDM	ANA	ANA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	25	1	1.68
1	EDM	13	0	0.81
2	ANA	9	0	0.37
2	EDM	16	1	1.39
3	ANA	19	0	1.14
3	EDM	5	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown