Utah Mammoth at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-10-08 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 1 Utah Mammoth

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 54.0%

UTA: 46.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.31

UTA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

UTA

S. Cossa

Stat	BOS	UTA
Season SV%	0.903	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	37	36	1	97.3%	4.62	3	3.62
UTA	S. Cossa	22	16	6	72.7%	2.18	0	-3.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • BOS at home vs UTA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-08	BOS 6 - 1 UTA	BOS	BOS
2025-12-16	BOS 4 - 1 UTA	BOS	UTA
2025-10-19	UTA 3 - 2 BOS	UTA	UTA
2024-11-21	BOS 1 - 0 UTA	BOS	BOS
2024-10-19	UTA 2 - 1 BOS	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	0	0.81
1	UTA	22	1	1.77
2	BOS	9	0	0.73
2	UTA	18	1	1.66
3	BOS	8	0	0.64
3	UTA	16	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown