Vancouver Canucks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-10-08 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 7 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 55.8%

VAN: 44.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.16

VAN: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	CAR	VAN
Season SV%	0.899	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	20	18	2	90.0%	1.92	1	-0.08
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	34	27	7	79.4%	4.92	4	-2.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs VAN: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-20	VAN 3 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-10-08	CAR 7 - 2 VAN	CAR	CAR
2026-03-04	VAN 4 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-14	CAR 4 - 3 VAN	CAR	CAR
2025-01-10	CAR 2 - 0 VAN	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	13	1	1.49
1	VAN	7	0	0.45
2	CAR	15	2	1.58
2	VAN	13	1	0.78
3	CAR	18	1	1.85
3	VAN	9	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown