Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-10-08 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:00 PM PDT

Win Probability

VGK: 52.8%

TOR: 47.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.32

TOR: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VGK at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	TOR 3 - 6 VGK	VGK	TOR
2026-01-15	VGK 6 - 5 TOR	VGK	VGK
2025-03-05	VGK 5 - 2 TOR	VGK	VGK
2024-11-20	TOR 3 - 0 VGK	TOR	VGK
2024-02-27	TOR 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	TOR

This game is scheduled for 2026-10-08 at 7:00 PM PDT.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.