Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-10-08 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:00 PM PDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 52.8%
TOR: 47.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.30
TOR: 3.42
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Adin Hill - 10-9-6 | 0.871 SV% | 3.04 GAA
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
| Stat | VGK | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.875 | 0.905 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.837 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VGK at home vs TOR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | TOR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
| 2026-01-15 | VGK 6 - 5 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-05 | VGK 5 - 2 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-20 | TOR 3 - 0 VGK | TOR | VGK |
| 2024-02-27 | TOR 2 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-10-08 at 7:00 PM PDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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