Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-10-09 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 47.0%

ANA: 53.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.08

ANA: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

C. Stevenson

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Stat	WPG	ANA
Season SV%	—	0.888
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	3.15

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	C. Stevenson	17	12	5	70.6%	4.00	5	-1.00
ANA	Lukas Dostal	16	15	1	93.8%	2.16	0	1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WPG at home vs ANA: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-09	WPG 1 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-10	WPG 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-02-27	ANA 5 - 4 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-11-09	ANA 4 - 1 WPG	ANA	ANA
2025-04-16	WPG 2 - 1 ANA	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	9	0	0.46
1	ANA	9	1	0.83
2	WPG	13	0	0.92
2	ANA	9	1	0.86
3	WPG	10	0	0.78
3	ANA	12	3	2.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown